Round 4

The Year So Far

16/27 correct 59.26%
Off by 27.95 on average (mae)
0.40062 total bits (See here for more info)

Tips

Brisbane vs Collingwood
Collingwood by 6.38  42.77% - 57.23%

North Melbourne vs Carlton
Carlton by 8.5  40.4% - 59.6%

Adelaide vs Fremantle
Adelaide by 2.23  52.54% - 47.46%

Richmond vs Footscray
Richmond by 18.96  70.6% - 29.4%

St Kilda vs Gold Coast
St Kilda by 17.55  69.19% - 30.81%

Sydney vs Port Adelaide
Sydney by 19.19  70.83% - 29.17%

Essendon vs GWS
Essendon by 14.76  66.33% - 33.67%

West Coast vs Melbourne
Melbourne by 15.03  33.38% - 66.62%

Geelong vs Hawthorn
Geelong by 24.43  75.75% - 24.25%

Last Week's Results

Footscray vs Brisbane - Footscray by 0.41
Collingwood vs Richmond - Collingwood by 12.3
Hawthorn vs North Melbourne - Hawthorn by 3.95
GWS vs Carlton - GWS by 0.06
St Kilda vs Essendon - St Kilda by 9.77
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide - Port Adelaide by 17.64
Gold Coast vs Geelong - Geelong by 6.45
Melbourne vs Sydney - Sydney by 0.09
Fremantle vs West Coast - Fremantle by 15.49

Ratings

1. Collingwood: 8.42
2. Melbourne: 7.25
3. Sydney: 6.55
4. Richmond: 4.29
5. St Kilda: 4.04
6. Geelong: 3.29
7. Carlton: 2.67
8. Essendon: 0.95
9. Fremantle: 0.92
10. Brisbane: -0.79
11. Port Adelaide: -1.3
12. Adelaide: -2.54
13. Gold Coast: -2.71
14. Footscray: -3.4
15. GWS: -3.94
16. West Coast: -7.72
17. North Melbourne: -7.94
18. Hawthorn: -8.05

Projections

Thanks a lot to Max Barry from Squiggle (A website full of computer tipping models like this one) for letting me use his design!
 
This is a projection of what position each team will finish in, how many wins they will have, and how likely they are to finish in each position.



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